GoCanes, the way the match works (or at least for last year) makes no difference if you rank a program No. 1 or at the bottom of your list, you still have the same chances of matching there, which is why an applicant should rank according to his or her preference and not where they think they can match.
Basically all applicants are "matched" at their first choice (assuming the program also ranked the applicant). If the number of applicants at a particular program exceeds the number of spots available, then those lower on the program's rank list are "matched" into their second choice, and the whole process repeats itself, until everybody is matched (which, of course, doesn't happen in ortho) or all spots are filled.
For Longhorn, I would interview at a place where I think I would have the best chances of matching and then rank according to my preference. I think your decision regarding the 2nd wave interview would also depend on the strength of your application.