What are my chances

The ACGME posts detailed information on average USMLE scores for successful and unsuccessful applicants to all medical specialities. In addition you will find details on average number of programs applied to for successful applicants and average number of programs ranked. I would suggest starting there. Medical schools often keep detailed historical match data that you can request from your home institution. Also mine as much info from previous applicants at your medical school. Objective data will get you an interview but after that it becomes a very subjective process. Good Luck.

I think this is a legitimate post. Sure, his/herboard score is a little above the ortho average, but not by much. The 3rd year grades are probably a healthy bit lower than ortho matched average. They look that way, at least, but there may be a different grading policy at the poster's institution that makes "pass" not a death sentence...

I think you won't get passed by too many auto-filters, and with strong LOR and strong away rotations/good interviewing skills you stand a good chance of matching.

Could you expand on what constitutes the ortho matched average for 3d yr grades? I always wondered about this.

There are a lot of folks on this site with killer grades, but what does an average/decent 3rd yr report card look like for ortho?

I can't really. I'm speaking from having noticed that many ortho applicants (and indeed most medical students going into any field) will range between straight "high pass" to straight "honors." This person had a number of "pass," which at least at most schools I've heard of, is indicative of problems.

I disagree with the assumption that a pass indicates 'problems'. My institution does not even use HP in the clinical years; it's either H/P/F and the overwhelming majority of students receive a P... Straight H is exceedingly rare

I disagree with the assumption that a pass indicates 'problems'. My institution does not even use HP in the clinical years; it's either H/P/F and the overwhelming majority of students receive a P... Straight H is exceedingly rare[/quote]

I second this. This is the case at my school as well. Lots get P; there is no HP. Very few get H, and this is pretty random, and based on the opinions of few sometimes. It's hard to standardize this.