I'm a fellow applicant. Boneblaster obviously knows what he is talking about. A chief resident at my home program said that he received a ranked to match letter from HSS, ranked them No. 1, and still did not end up there. He also added that he has known people who received "you are not ranked" letter and still ended up there.
In light of the Boneblaster's note, I have to assume my resident got the letter #3 per above, highly but not guaranteed, and his rumor of people matching even with "not ranked" letter is just false, or at least some intervention occurred after that letter.
anyone else heard anything remotely similar to what I heard?